By Tor Madira Machier, Egypt
Feb 8, 2015(Nyamilepedia) — The top commander of the Sudanese armed forces Field Marshall Omer Hassan Ahmed al-Bashir had in late 2014 announced that the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) have kicked off the second phase of the mass military operation which they refered to as Decisive Summer Campaign against the alliance of different factions of the Sudanese rebels known as the Sudan Revolutionary Front (SRF).
As the matter of fact, the Military Decisive Summer has at least achieved undenied goals. The recapture of the rebel strongholds of Kauda in south Kordofan, Mugum in Blue Nile state, Vanaga in east Jebel Marra as well as the death of SLA-MM operation commander Mohamed Hari at Orshi water tank in areas of North Darfur state signifies how the rebellion is declining in south Kordofan, Blue Nile and Darfur respectively.
However, does that mean the end of the rebellion in Sudan? or will the decisive summer campaign make the Sudan Revolutionary Front rebels more weaker in both south Kordofan and Blue Nile or Darfur ?
The battle of Kauda, South of South kordofan state capital Kadugli which was posted by Sudan Air Force on its facebook page titled Kauda in the “Bosom (heart) of the Nation”( please follow this link: https://m.facebook.com/permalink.php?story_fbid=820972094628364&id=427252110667033) seem to be a turning point and a set back in the history of the Sudanese Revolutionary Front Rebels.
As a matter of fact, the government of Omar Hassan Ahmed al-Bashir needs to do more to survive. In reality the rebellion in South Kordofan , Blue Nile and Darfur is not going to end as soon as Bashir may deserves to end it in a very short period of time.
Nevertheless, Bashir can end it, but unless he first work to help the rebellion in South Sudan to host the regime of Salva Kiir Mayardiit in Juba and indisputably, that is the only way to end the rebellion in Sudan. Today, the Sudanese Revolutionary Front rebels are stationed in South Sudan’s border territories, they are armed by Salva Kiir in Juba and even actively involved in the fight against South Sudanese rebels.
In the true sense, the Sudanese rebels played a very great and significant role in defending the existence of government forces in Bentiu.Various human right bodies have documented reports of rapes and other forced gender based violence against the South Sudanese women particularly those living under the UN protection in the state (Bentiu).
Their (SRF) involvement in the internal conflict of the South Sudanese people and the warm logistical support they receive from juba is indisputable. It is accurately calculated how instable should Sudan be should the regime in Juba go ahead with it support to the Sudanese rebels alliance.
The regime in Khartoum share the same fate with the people of South Sudan. The more the suffering of the people in South Sudan under the regime of Salva Kiir, the more the instability in Sudan.
For Bashir and the Sudan in general to stay stable, the regime and the people of Sudan as whole must act to support the rebellion to host the regime in Juba so the rebellion in Sudan decline as soon as well.
It’s documented that the government of Salva Kiir spend $5 million dollars a day with $3 million to security sector and two for foreign affairs and relations. Among this $3 millions, 0.70 are allocated to the Sudanese rebels alliance by the regime of Salva Kiir in addition to other military equipment on the other side.
The regime in Juba arms the Sudanese rebels to fight Bashir because its a bunch of Anti-Bashir political elements. Their culture is that they blame everything on Bashir even when there is an inter-clan fighting in Cueibet county of Lakes state. That is why they suffer from a complex about Bashir.
Tor Madira Machier is a South Sudanese student pursuing Law Degree at the University Of Ain Shams in Cairo, Egypt.He can be reached at : firstname.lastname@example.org or reach him at his twitter account : @TorMadira