By Chuar Juet Jock,
July 26, 2016(Nyamilepedia) —— After he finished his brother in law Reik Machar, Mr. Taban will come to face the reality of himself and his game in few months to come, something he won’t believe he have done and neither the allure of being the second powerful man in the country or the seduction of glory shall be any longer there. If Kiir can’t implement the IGAD peace agreement with Dr. Riek Machar, why would he implement it with Gen.Taban who has no military or political backing as Mr. Machar? The fact is, whether Mr. Taban will play it as SPLM/A-IO defectee or its new leadership, it is a trend that’s also doomed because what makes the SPLM/A-IO significant in the political theatre of South Sudan is the ARCISS, something he is bound not to implement or even talk about it per the conspiracy deal and that’s why he is here and not Riek Machar. It doesn’t make any sense why would it be possible for Mr. Taban to implement the ARCISS while Mr. Machar wouldn’t. This indicates in fact that there is no such a thing as ARCISS to be implemented and this also could be one of the terms of conspiracy deal of Kiir-Taban.
All indicators point to the bitter reality that, Gen. Taban has sold the expensive hard-won peace agreement and stabbed his brother-in-law Riek Machar fatally in the back and not only that, but wilfully attempted to destroy the SPLM/A-IO that represents the huge sacrifices of more than 50,000 precious souls who perished as result of Salva regime massacres and as result of the 3 years armed struggle against the regime between 2013-2016 and still counting until this hour. Well, the logical question is, if a man could betray such multitude high commitments and relationships then what is left for such a man that he cannot betray? Accordingly, does he think he can be trusted by Mr. Salva or those who are using him to destroy himself and his own political base? Why he wouldn’t do it again this time against his new bosses? A lesson he should have learned from the certain fate of double spies.
Absolutely he wouldn’t be trusted and the rings of the mafia who are in fierce power struggle around J1 won’t let him go any further than his terms and time of use and he will shortly be dumped either dead or half alive. This isn’t SPLM/A-IO work, it is Mr. Salva “Hotel Coup” and if it is truly an IO arranged succession then the deputy SPLM/A-IO, Mr. Ladu Gore should be the one that replaces Dr. Machar but also this wasn’t the case. Shouldn’t this also raises Mr. Taban’s eye brows and make him question the long-term objectives of such a conspiracy and appointment?
As a lone wolf within Juba establishment, Mr. Taban either will have the military or political backing necessary for him to have a place on the table and in such a reality, his removal and being thrown into a waste is high likely after they successfully or failed to use him to destroy Riek and the SPLM/-IO. However, Mr. Riek and SPLM/A-IO are yet to be confirmed destroyed otherwise, Gen. Taban will be in hot troubled waters and this could be the end of his political career in filthy politics. Contrary to what Kiir and Co. are spreading, the SPLM/A-IO is not destroyed because of this orchestrated coup in Juba but as a matter of fact, the regime has made a significant media and physiological gains out of it and particularly with Dr. Machar in hiding, everything seems to the ordinary mind that Mr. Salva has finally won the war, well in real sense, that’s not true. Mr. Kiir and the country may just wake up to a sure new hell.
While the hunt for Mr. Machar intensifies to eliminate him so the whole conspiracy could succeed, the possibility of Mr. Machar coming back stronger and more determined to wage a full-scale war to oust Mr. Salva is highly likely. That’s the war may just take a worse turn, where second chances for trust and benefit of the doubt are not likely. Well, we need peace but I must be honest that I don’t see peace in the current political situation created by the power struggle in Juba. Let us wait how it will turn out.
The author is a South Sudanese entrepreneur, columnist and PhD candidate based in Omaha, Nebraska – United States. He has authored his new book “In a Nutshell: Opinions and Articles during South Sudanese Civil War (2013 -2016)”; a powerful truth that has been injected into the body of South Sudan’s history, it unearthed the truth of the current since war started on December 15, 2013 up to February 2016. The book is available at Amazon.com and other online bookstores. The author can be reached through email@example.com.
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