Uganda, South Sudan Should Prepare for an Inevitable Political Change and So Does The Entire Great Lake Region; a Case of Amama Mbabazi Declaration for 2016 Uganda Polls

Patrick Amama Mbabazi Campaign flier; background (yellow) NRM party color [photo; supplied]

Patrick Amama Mbabazi Campaign flier; background (yellow) NRM party color [photo; supplied]

June 15, 2015 (Nyamilepedia) — At the night of Sunday 14, June 2015, the indecisive NRM (National Resistance Movement), Uganda ruling party’s heavy weight politician, John Patrick Amama Mbabazi broke the awkward silence.

A bold move many of his staunch supporters, both from within his party, the NRM and other Ugandans who have been longing for regime change wanted him to make.

In numerous occasions various media sources quoted Amama Mbabazi telling his supporters who put him in pressure days and nights to declare his presidency “I will tell you what I want to tell you when I will tell you.”

On Sunday, 14 June 2015, perhaps it is about time he told them. Amama Mbabazi made his declaration for 2016 Presidency and he released a 5:24 minute Video in YouTube entitled “My Declaration to the People of Uganda” which circulated widely in the social media attracting thousands of viewers in just few hours.

“My fellow Ugandans, I greet you wherever you are. It is a great privilege for me to address you. I come before you today, to tell you that I will be seeking your vote, first within my party, the NRM as its flag bearer; and later on in the whole country for President in the 2016 presidential elections.” Reads part of his declaration.

His declaration captured headlines in the country and stirred jubilations as well to his supporters and mixed reactions were received from his fewer critics; as he shunned the Opposition Collision leaders who expected him to join them for a greater political momentum against the incumbent President Yoweri Museveni come General elections in 2016.

When President Museveni was contacted for a comment by NTV Uganda, all he could say was “Amama Mbabazi is just wasting his time,” a statement he refused to elaborate more on. It is not yet clear whether or not President Museveni is ready to rig the Party Primaries as Amama Mbabazi seems unbeatable through transparent and democratic process.

Patrick Amama Mbabazi is one of the long served NRM- Museveni right hand politicians since 1986 when NRA took over power through gun barrels. Hailing from the same region and ethnic background President Museveni had entrusted him with various successive ministerial posts, a systematic implementation of tribalism and nepotism just as it happens in any other parts of Africa.

Amama Mbabazi was the Prime Minister of Uganda from 24 May 2011 to 19 September 2014 when President Museveni fired him over allegations relating to his presidential bids in 2016 General elections.

Prior to this position, he served as the Minister for Security in the Ugandan Cabinet from February 2009 to May 2011. He also served as the Secretary General of National Resistance Movement, NRM from November 2005 to January 2015.

Amama Mbabazi also serves as the Member of Parliament for Kinkiizi West constituency in Kanungu District, a position he has held since 1996 after the promulgation.

South Sudan or Even The Entire Great Lake Region should Prepare for a Possible Political Change

If President Museveni manipulate and temper with Party primaries as Amama Mbabazi has already declared his presidency, there is a greater possibility of bloody violence happening in Uganda than calm — exactly like what had happened in South Sudan SPLM party.

Reason is that Amama Mbabazi is a strong personality and a senior NRM party member who enjoys enormous popularity and cannot easily be tricked by President Museveni.

Amama Mbabazi is also alleged to have strong affiliations with a good number of powerful UPDF (Uganda People Defense Force) officers, including David Sejjusa, a former Chief Military Intelligence who was sacked by Museveni in 2013 over allegations connected to Amama Mbabazi’s case.

Obviously Amama Mbabazi is people choice in Uganda in forthcoming general elections and a major threat President Yoweri Museveni never had in his entire political career.

And in any case Amama Mbabazi makes it through Party primaries successfully and wins 2016; there will be inevitable changes in political settings that will first affect South Sudan, since it is crystal clear that President Museveni, being a renowned regional dictator and bully runs South Sudan like a family business.

The commercialization of Uganda National Army, UPDF shall also cease with immediate effect should Amama Mbabazi makes it to power; and this means a total collapse to Kiir authoritative regime if the South Sudan Armed Opposition cannot topple the regime really quick.

There shall be retraction of UPDF from all fronts in different countries, including the ones that are keeping Kiir in palace in Juba to come home and serve a purpose of National benefits.

Kenya’s yes-boy, Uhuru Kenyatta will start learning to make independent decisions if Museveni will no longer ill influence him and President Paul Kagame of Rwanda, Museveni cohort will be forced to change his murderous dealings or else face total isolation.

In recap, should Museveni rig the polls, there shall be arms confrontations in Uganda comes 2016 general elections. Should Amama Mbabazi win, then that is good news for the entire East African Countries.

However, either way, the Great Lake Region shall have to get prepared for drastic adjustments in political arena because President Museveni after Amama Mbabazi declaration is now having enough problems of his own to engage him than having time for bullying other states through military might.

Withdrawing UPDF from South Sudan, Somalia and other Countries will now be necessary for his own existence.

And Amama Mbabazi is one possible game changer in this case!

Gatwal Augustines
Associate Editor/Nyamilepedia


  • Dr.Riek Machar is too OBESE and BRIAN DEAD like Laurent Kabila. South Sudan should not think to allow him back again.Back Off with him.

  • Politics situation is now very very Complicated for our Nuer.

  • Agumut Slafa Kirr is adopted father in crime is in big troubles. What do you mean allowed him back? Back where? Dr. Machar was recognized by international community. The recent red carpet in SA is one example of many. Our new capital City of Pagak is vibrant and peaceful city than terrorist city of Juba. Your hope is gone for good.

    • Leave politic to the masters. you always come to this forum to cry,cry, when are you going to stop?

    • He can not become president with out our recognition and that in South Africa is not very important to us.We majority people of South Sudan.Your Pagaak is at border and a town. For how long Machar is going to survived with medicines? The more medicines he takes the more he eats a lot and become extremely overweight.John Garang and others SPLM were like him and later they became no good like him.

      • Agumut:

        Although the name (Agumut) does not really reflect the great job you are doing here on behalf of our Country and martyrs, I can proudly thank you for the job well done. Those food lovers and looters should be informed that Dinka and Nuer will stop war and reconcile their tribal and political differences when Riek Machat is dead. We will never accept Riek Machar’s fake peace this time around. We will soon recapture pagak and those looters will be forced to move further to Gambella. It is just a matter of time.
        Keep up the good fight on the social media.

    • Dr.Machar and Amama will look exactly like Dr.Kiza. With difference EYEBALLS.

  • Does Amama Mbabazi has stop Rolling his EYEBALLS. Election is Election,he will still roll them. Eyeballs rolling week.

  • Nuer Empire

    The end of two gangs is coming, the gangs of two dictators! God is watching.

  • Manut Ngardit

    Let Nuer people keep their hope alive but the time for Dr.Riek Machar is coming.

  • Let stooges, who claimed and backed their
    South Sudan leader to be a hero,they will soon totally collapse when their leader co-leader Kampala-dictator Mesuveni is going to be replace by A mama Ambasi in  power. The power that Kiir boast of today was snatched from Garang when Dictator Mesuveni dramatically conspired against true South Sudan leader in what the perpetuators called plane crashed .

  • Bravo ! Uganda’s true leader, Amama Ambazi, don’t be worry of dictator’s Gen Kaguta empty threats: you have old experience from the worst dictator : form Uganda’s former dictator field marshal, Dr Idi Amin Dada . He was dreaming in all his brutal aggressive ruleship, that ended his life and rule .Please remember these wise sayings : history repeat itself; those who like to kill people by sword, shall be kill also by sword. You are mortol being life and death is not on your hand but in God’s hand.Your days are counted from above realm.
    To replace by worst dictator than Dada. His greediness, and wars expansion in several Africans countries will end his life

  • Mr. Amama Mbabazi, in my stay in Kampala for ten years, you have been my role model. I believe and trust you are the best and alternative to Uganda and Africa. Keep it up big man, you are my angel who can rescue Africa.

  • Any Change in politics is always welcome by those who love politics and peace, but the worse thing is how it can end like what is happening in south Sudan, indeed I will be happy if any capable leader emerge in South Sudan, of course we need a leader that can bring peace and not war, a leader that is capable of shutting down Dr Machiar’s rebellion. this will make Nuer thinks of peace as their main means of survivable and live side by side with Dinka as citizen of south Sudan.
    By Miirkou part2